Ea Illinois
W-L: ( 4-25) PR = 91.9135Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 65-83 1106 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 67-82 1111 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 69-90 1120 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 53-** 1122 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 54-60 1128 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 38-91 1129 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 68-63 1130 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 54-60 1207 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 46-64 1211 H No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 55-83 1214 H Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 52-74 1218 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 10-59 1221 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 55-87 101 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 68-70 103 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 51-58 108 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 75-74 110 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 71-45 113 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 61-74 115 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 47-55 124 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 48-52 129 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 46-62 131 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 56-71 205 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 65-60 207 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 70-75 210 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 49-93 214 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 53-73 219 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 70-74 226 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 43-80 228 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 43-70
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Drake 65-83 -18 -1 -0.58
1106 H Purdue 67-82 -15 -4 0.00
1111 H Indiana St 69-90 -21 -1 -1.27
1120 H Michigan St 53-** -48 -5 0.00
1122 H Ce Michigan 54-60 -6 -2 0.00
1128 H Louisville 38-91 -53 -6 0.00
1129 A Bellarmine 68-63 5 1 0.88
1130 H Ea Tenn St 54-60 -6 -1 -0.78
1207 H Illinois St 46-64 -18 -2 0.00
1211 H No Dakota St 55-83 -28 -4 0.00
1214 H Butler 52-74 -22 -2 0.00
1218 H SIUE 10-59 -49 -1 -0.53
1221 H Lindenwood 55-87 -32 -3 0.00
101 H SE MO St 68-70 -2 -1 -0.61
103 H UT Martin 51-58 -7 -1 -0.91
108 A Tenn Tech 75-74 1 -2 + 2.67
110 A Tenn St 71-45 26 0 + 2.29
113 H We Illinois 61-74 -13 -3 0.00
115 H Little Rock 47-55 -8 -2 -0.32
124 H Morehead St 48-52 -4 -2 -0.20
129 H UT Martin 46-62 -16 -1 -0.91
131 H SE MO St 56-71 -15 -1 -0.61
205 A Tenn St 65-60 5 0 + 2.29
207 H Tenn Tech 70-75 -5 -2 -0.35
210 H We Illinois 49-93 -44 -3 0.00
214 H Little Rock 53-73 -20 -2 -0.32
219 H Morehead St 70-74 -4 -2 -0.20
226 H Lindenwood 43-80 -37 -3 0.00
228 H SIUE 43-70 -27 -1 -0.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 A Tenn Tech 75-74 1 -2 + 2.67 110 A Tenn St 71-45 26 0 + 2.29 205 A Tenn St 65-60 5 0 + 2.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 65-83 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 1.05 -3.44
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 67-82 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 1.05 -2.28
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 69-90 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 1.05 -3.80
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 53-** -2.71 8.25 -0.01 1.05 -1.42
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 54-60 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 38-91 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 1.05 -1.25
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 68-63 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.05 3.88
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 54-60 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.05 -3.54
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 46-64 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.89
3 H No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 55-83 -4.28 6.68 -0.01 1.05 -2.25
3 H Butler (13-19, 94.2) 52-74 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.05 -2.97
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 10-59 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.05 -3.41
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 55-87 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 68-70 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.05 -3.45
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 51-58 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.05 -3.61
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 75-74 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.05 9.72
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 71-45 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.05 6.83
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 61-74 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.05 -2.67
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 47-55 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.05 -3.30
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 48-52 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.05 -3.24
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 46-62 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.05 -3.61
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 56-71 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.05 -3.45
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 65-60 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.05 6.83
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 70-75 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.05 -3.32
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 49-93 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.05 -2.67
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 53-73 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.05 -3.30
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 70-74 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.05 -3.24
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 43-80 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 43-70 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.05 -3.41
------
-47.67
|
winning pts = 27.2498 losing points = -74.9214
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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